EXCLUSIVE: Presidential Primary survey

Published On: Feb 15 2012 01:58:00 PM EST
Updated On: Feb 16 2012 07:51:48 AM EST

The survey was conducted on February 11-13 and has a margin of error of +/-4.38% with a 95% level of confidence.  This survey was commissioned by the WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Michigan's Presidential Primary is scheduled for Feb. 28. Ahead of election day, The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 500-sample, live operator telephone survey of registered Michigan voters likely to vote in the state's Feb. 28 Republican Presidential Primary Election. The survey was conducted on February 11-13 and has a margin of error of +/-4.38% with a 95% level of confidence.  This survey was commissioned by the WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Here are the results:

The Auto Bailout:  A Non-Issue

 

We asked voters if they would be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who opposed giving government loans to the automobile industry.  25.4% of voters would be MORE likely to vote for that candidate while 20.2% of voters would be less likely to vote for that candidate. 50.8% of voters said it made no difference to them.

 

Michigan’s Republican Senate Nomination:  Hoekstra Continues to Blow Away the Field

 

We asked voters who they would support in August in the Republican primary for the United Senate.  Pete Hoekstra continues to hold a massive lead on all of his competitors – none of whom get above 5% of the vote.

 

Candidate                                 Percentage

Pete Hoekstra                          50.2%

Clark Durant                            4.8%

Randy Heckman                       1.8%

Gary Glenn                               1.0%

Chuck Marino                          0.8%

Peter Konetchy                        0.6%

Undecided                                38.0%

Hoekstra wins 64.9% of the vote in Northern Michigan, 64.2% of the vote in West Michigan and 60.4% of the vote in Southwest Michigan.  When we look at just Republican voters Pete Hoekstra’s margin rises to 56.3% with Clark Durant at 5.1%. 

 

Pete Hoekstra has 87.8% name identification among likely Presidential primary voters breaking 49.8% favorable to 17.6% unfavorable. 

Right Track/ Wrong Track

Republican voters are highly pessimistic about the direction of America, but very optimistic about the direction of Michigan.

By a margin of 9.6%-85.4%, Republican primary voters believe the nation is on the wrong track.  But by a margin of 54.8%-34.8%, Republican primary voters believe Michigan is on the right track.

 

By a margin of 78.7%-12.2%, self identified Republicans have a favorable impression of Rick Snyder.  By a margin of 79.0%-12.3%, conservative voters have a favorable impression of Rick Snyder.

Q: Generally speaking would you say that the nation is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?

                                   Right                Wrong

UP/North                     10.8%              85.1%

West                            8.6%                88.6%

Southwest                     6.3%                89.6%

Mid                              17.8%              71.1%

E Central                       2.1%                 93.6%

Oakland                        8.4%                 88.0%

Macomb                       15.0%              77.5%

Wayne                          8.0%                88.0%

Rem of MSA                 11.6%              81.4%

Conservative                 3.4%                93.3%             

Moderate                      6.3%                90.6%

Tea Party                      2.8%                94.9%

GOP                             4.3%                91.8%

DEM                             62.5%              29.2%

IND                             14.5%              78.2%

Definitely                      9.1%                87.3%

Probably                      10.9%              80.6%

Pro-Life                       5.5%                90.4%

Pro-Choice                  19.3%              74.1%

Union                           11.5%              83.8%

Non-Union                   8.6%                86.2%

                                    Right                Wrong

 

 

Weekly                        7.6%                88.6%

Semi Monthly               17.4%              78.3%

Monthly                        8.7%                87.0%

Semi Yearly                  10.5%              84.2%

Rarely                          6.9%                87.9%

None                            13.2%              73.7%

Male                            11.6%              82.0%

Female                         7.6%                88.8%

Q: Generally speaking would you say that Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?

            Right                Wrong

UP/North                      50.0%              37.8%

West                            58.6%              35.7%

Southwest                    58.3%              31.3%

Mid                              55.6%              33.3%

E Central                      36.2%              48.9%

Oakland                       61.4%              31.3%

Macomb                      57.5%              32.5%

Wayne                         54.0%              32.0%

Rem of MSA                58.1%              30.2%

 

Conservative                56.2%              31.5%

Moderate                     59.4%              31.3%

Tea Party                     54.5%              34.2%

 

GOP                            57.4%              30.7%             

DEM                            41.7%              54.2%

IND                             50.0%              42.7%

 

Definitely                      58.2%              30.7%

Probably                      46.0%              45.3%

 

Pro-Life                       56.8%              32.2%

Pro-Choice                  51.1%              40.7%

 

Union                           48.6%              37.8%

Non-Union                   57.6%              33.2%

 

                                   

Weekly                        56.1%              33.2%

Semi Monthly               58.7%              34.8%

Monthly                        56.5%              34.8%

Semi Yearly                  47.4%              42.1%

Rarely                          50.0%              36.2%

None                            52.6%              42.1%

 

Male                            58.8%              30.4%

Female                         50.8%              39.2%

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